A transparent approach to asking prices, observed market prices, forward scenarios and funded liquidity. The calculations are reproducible and the assumptions are visible.
Purpose. Make the calculations reproducible and the assumptions visible. A formula can explain a price path; it cannot by itself validate a starting valuation or establish that future appreciation will occur.
The worked example uses a US$10 launch asking price, an illustrative 20× annual price multiple and a 14% customer sell discount. These are selected assumptions, not values derived from verified market demand.
Definitions: A is the customer buy-price target; B is the illustrative customer sell quote; q is completed quarters; g is the quarterly increase; M is the annual price multiple; d is the sell discount; Hq is sustained network mining work at review q (trailing 30-day average difficulty from the chain); H0 is the same measure at the launch review; β is the work elasticity.
With M = 20, g = 111.4743% per quarter. With d = 14%, the sell illustration is 86% of the buy target. A 20× annual multiple means a 1,900% annual increase, and 400× the starting price after two years before the work factor.
The asking price carries a factor (Hq / H0)β: when sustained mining work on the network rises, the asking price rises with it. The proposed elasticity is β = 0.5, so a doubling of network work lifts the asking price by about 41% and a quadrupling doubles it. Falling work lowers it by the same rule. Work is measured as the trailing 30-day average of chain difficulty, which is public on the explorer; the launch baseline H0 is the figure recorded at the launch review and published with it.
| Network work | Factor (β = 0.5) | Launch asking price | 24-month target (20× path) |
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All curves start at US$10 per QTC, apply the 20× annual path (111.4743% per quarter) and a 14% sell discount, with β = 0.5. They differ only in network work: flat, doubling each year, or quadrupling each year.
Step changes occur only at quarterly review points. Values are illustrative USD per QTC, rounded to two decimals; calculations use unrounded inputs.
| Month | Work flat buy target | Work flat sell illustration | Work ×2 / year buy target | Work ×2 / year sell illustration | Work ×4 / year buy target | Work ×4 / year sell illustration |
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